0xf01d077f7047035b6e3d81204b54b184243e5700
Ballernundsaufen has lost $88 on Polymarket across 40 markets, winning 54% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $145 over 5 positions. Right now it holds 35 open positions worth $922, the largest on “US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes | 250 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 68 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | No | 100 |
| Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 60 |
| Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%? | No | 80 |
| Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? | No | 60 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | No | 40 |
| Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | 286 |
| Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | No | 40 |
| Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? | No | 56 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | $297k | $358k |
| fildoro | $25k | $39k |
| frede13337 | $39k | $39k |
| tin54321 | $34k | $34k |
| JambonMogettes | $29k | $29k |
| cynical.reason | $25k | $25k |
| fregdf12f | $19k | $24k |
| tradetosurvive1 | −$21k | $24k |
| 0x15d3… | $22k | $24k |
| phredmoz | $15k | $22k |
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