0xf30a11553a20c3ee1fa7a7f17a7dd30721063583
HardZix has lost $1.9k on Polymarket across 2,677 markets, winning 52% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $237 over 42 positions, mostly Markets markets. Right now it holds 31 open positions worth $2.4k, the largest on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?” (Yes). It spreads small stakes widely, about $126 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 200 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 300 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 300 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 300 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 100 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 100 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 100 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? AND Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? AND Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? AND Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? AND NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? AND Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 135 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 100 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| timetowander | $4.1M | $1.3M |
| debased | $933k | $718k |
| elmcap2 | $1.1M | $281k |
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| 0x0704… | $516k | $152k |
| gaven-willwin | $9k | $124k |
| arjennnnn | $115k | $123k |
| foodenjoyer | $741k | $120k |
| XAE12Archangel | $1.9M | $106k |
| 0xcb31… | $94k | $96k |
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