Event · 11 outcomes · settled

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31 won. 11 outcomes are listed, 11 already settled, $1.3M has traded on the event; it closed Dec 31, 2026.

Winner
August 31
Volume
$1.3M
Closed
Dec 31, 2026

See who really won.Every smart wallet on this event by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Next Claude Opus released by...?

settled

11

outcomes

$1.3M

volume

—

liquidity

Settled

status

Every outcome by odds

11 outcomes

1August 31 · won100%
2October 31 · won100%
3December 31 · won100%
4July 31 · won100%
5July 24 · won100%
6July 27 · won100%
7July 29 · won100%
8July 17 · out0%
9July 16 · out0%
10July 22 · out0%
11July 23 · out0%

Every outcome

Odds for all 11 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1August 31	100%	+4.7 pts	$105k	won
2October 31	100%	+2.3 pts	$81k	won
3December 31	100%	+1.2 pts	$81k	won
4July 31	100%	+18.5 pts	$262k	won
5July 24	100%	+40 pts	$507k	won
6July 27	100%	—	$68k	won
7July 29	100%	—	$40k	won
8July 17	0%	—	$11k	out
9July 16	0%	—	$2.3k	out
10July 22	0%	−45.5 pts	$80k	out
11July 23	0%	—	$102k	out

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FAQ

Who won Next Claude Opus released by...? on Polymarket?: August 31 won; the event closed Dec 31, 2026, on $1.3M of volume. The race chart shows every outcome's path to the result.
What are the odds for each outcome of Next Claude Opus released by...??: Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on the favourite, the category markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.