No 67% · Yes 34%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $33k, liquidity $73k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $5.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $1.0M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $988k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $596k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $535k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Addarash | Yes | 3k |
| DonVincero | Yes | 2k |
| nehaip | Yes | 1k |
| notgoodluck | Yes | 1k |
| blkcarib2020 | Yes | 1k |
| Imbafer | Yes | 900 |
| rexcom | Yes | 860 |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 769 |
| 0x720a…40f1 | Yes | 696 |
| sbimbg | Yes | 633 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 15k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 3k |
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