No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (17 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $745k, liquidity $143k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 31% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 12% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Josh Shapiro 5% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $996k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $844k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $272k |
| Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? | Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 97% · Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds 3% · No Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 0% | $76k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $39k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $30k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 1.9M |
| Arbguy | Yes | 150k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 130k |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 95k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 55k |
| NAN | Yes | 50k |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 32k |
| balthazar | Yes | 31k |
| 881112 | Yes | 23k |
| anciano | Yes | 19k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 208 |
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