Francisco Cerundolo won. Smart money backed Filip Misolic (15 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $333k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $983k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $674k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze | Elena Pridankina 19% · Alexandra Shubladze 82% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $355k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Raccoon9200 | Francisco Cerundolo | $3k |
| alcoholic1337 | Francisco Cerundolo | $1k |
| sphynx9 | Francisco Cerundolo | $85.66 |
| OVER955 | Francisco Cerundolo | $45.97 |
| MatrixAttack | Francisco Cerundolo | $30.46 |
| VD721lsj4938Dk388 | Francisco Cerundolo | $25.59 |
| HeitGwinni | Francisco Cerundolo | $22.92 |
| MJ002 | Francisco Cerundolo | $15.81 |
| cortang | Francisco Cerundolo | $13.73 |
| .Felipe | Francisco Cerundolo | $9.89 |
| Naveen1192 | Francisco Cerundolo | $8.70 |
| 0xf333… | Francisco Cerundolo | $8.25 |
109 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $4.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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