Melbourne United won. Smart money backed New Zealand Breakers (3 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $49k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $896k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $685k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RollAwayTheDew | Melbourne United | $3k |
| shisan888888888888888888888888888 | Melbourne United | $810.31 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Melbourne United | $472.24 |
| 0xfb07… | Melbourne United | $218.37 |
| 0x31c7… | Melbourne United | $142.84 |
| Poolymath | Melbourne United | $88.46 |
| 2185ccpoli | Melbourne United | $65.70 |
| truemagistion | Melbourne United | $47.20 |
| slimjoe | Melbourne United | $25.92 |
| Po1yamory | Melbourne United | $25 |
| jeanh211 | Melbourne United | $24.81 |
| innocenty | Melbourne United | $20 |
70 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $5.4k; the 34 biggest losers gave up $6.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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