Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $7.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
AlexD87 took +$813 on Yes from 35¢; the biggest loser gave up $252.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 14? | 31°C 100% · 32°C 0% · 25°C or below 0% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 99% · 27°C 1% · 26°C 0% | $32k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 14? | 13°C 100% · 14°C 0% · 15°C 0% | $27k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 23°C 0% | $26k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 14? | 16°C 100% · 18°C 0% · 17°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 14? | 70-71°F 57% · 72-73°F 22% · 68-69°F 16% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 48-49°F 35% · 50-51°F 28% · 46-47°F 18% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 14? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 0% · 23°C or higher 0% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AlexD87 | Yes | $813.43 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $160.19 |
| gghff | Yes | $107.24 |
| Veetu1234 | Yes | $104.85 |
| fildoro | Yes | $84.04 |
| Adsdf2ck2kqs | Yes | $67.24 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $63.44 |
| 1132 | Yes | $51.68 |
| rocky42016 | Yes | $50.67 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $49.03 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $48.75 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | $48.46 |
114 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 50 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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