No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $5.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
70 wallets held a position at the close. The 32 biggest winners took $319; the 38 biggest losers gave up $257. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 1? | 33°C 100% · 32°C 0% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1? | 60-61°F 59% · 62-63°F 34% · 64-65°F 5% | $24k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1? | 11°C 98% · 12°C 2% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 1? | 11°C 85% · 12°C 14% · 13°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 1? | 8°C 98% · 9°C 2% · 10°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 13°C 60% · 14°C 32% · 15°C or higher 2% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 1? | 60-61°F 60% · 62-63°F 31% · 58-59°F 7% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $82.65 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $45.13 |
| 0x9189… | No | $29.07 |
| 0x29da… | No | $18.70 |
| haiwenxiang | Yes | $14.87 |
| Thermomenal | No | $14.54 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $13.27 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $11.45 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $10.35 |
| 0x4ce3… | No | $9.94 |
| printer-money-blah | No | $8.88 |
| yellowhp | No | $7.17 |