No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
14 ranked wallets bought Yes at 15¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 14 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $660k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $177k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $81k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrose | Yes | 58k |
| wan123 | Yes | 56k |
| TheFed4U | Yes | 22k |
| Haborerr | Yes | 19k |
| Robertro123 | Yes | 14k |
| Itacar | Yes | 13k |
| 0x34f1…4c93 | Yes | 12k |
| Tunaking1 | Yes | 11k |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH | Yes | 11k |
| TulipoII | Yes | 11k |
| roseisrose | No | 21 |
| Serseya | No | 16 |
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