Yes 82% · No 19%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 85¢). Volume $2.8k, liquidity $228. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
5 ranked wallets bought Yes at 85¢. It’s 82¢ now — −4% on paper.
Track all 5 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hakei. | Yes | 248 |
| 0xdf97…0bc3 | Yes | 130 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 129 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 87 |
| copvin | Yes | 32 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | Yes | 16 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 16 |
| generaterandomname | Yes | 14 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 13 |
| vinii | No | 199 |
| Natanson | No | 123 |
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