Yes 72% · No 28%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 82¢). Volume $2.9k, liquidity $226. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
5 ranked wallets bought Yes at 82¢. It’s 72¢ now — −12% on paper.
Track all 5 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hakei. | Yes | 715 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 98 |
| PPMT | Yes | 35 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 30 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 26 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20 |
| gaut6375 | Yes | 20 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | Yes | 16 |
| generaterandomname | Yes | 14 |
| MoffGonsular | Yes | 12 |
| Boroda205 | No | 150 |
| FishHunter | No | 143 |
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