No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
22 ranked wallets bought Yes at 13¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 22 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 881112 | Yes | 116k |
| jayceee | Yes | 100k |
| 99problems123 | Yes | 46k |
| troim | Yes | 10k |
| dudukos | Yes | 9k |
| strider- | Yes | 5k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 5k |
| rewrewrewrwe | Yes | 3k |
| ProudIsraeliGuy | Yes | 2k |
| FEAROFWHAT | Yes | 2k |
| Lottery | No | 254 |
| heshihuiben | No | 20 |
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