No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
11 ranked wallets bought Yes at 3¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 11 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kimma97 | Yes | 34k |
| Ds88 | Yes | 2k |
| steeplejack | Yes | 1k |
| wan123 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xee6712 | Yes | 786 |
| 1341x | Yes | 510 |
| MissWonderfun | Yes | 500 |
| 0xc510…bb00 | Yes | 414 |
| oak | Yes | 356 |
| ferliu | Yes | 319 |
| 0x3dc0…06a7 | No | 5 |
| 0xbbd6…cd89 | No | 1 |
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