No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
17 ranked wallets bought Yes at 12¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 17 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jayceee | Yes | 210k |
| 881112 | Yes | 150k |
| mindeirs | Yes | 54k |
| Leviathan1832 | Yes | 10k |
| 23449 | Yes | 8k |
| troim | Yes | 6k |
| wan123 | Yes | 5k |
| Spirit-LT | Yes | 4k |
| tradingdecs | Yes | 2k |
| FHJR65 | Yes | 2k |
| totenhamona | No | 10 |
| Cancellation | No | 6 |
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