No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 13¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mnbdegen | Yes | 3k |
| aibz | Yes | 1k |
| 0x4018f2 | Yes | 541 |
| ProbablyPomPom | Yes | 500 |
| ImJustKen | Yes | 331 |
| 0xef2a2e | Yes | 300 |
| 0x35c073 | Yes | 237 |
| 0xe9b42a | Yes | 206 |
| cuihui | Yes | 179 |
| kuaqr | Yes | 176 |
| PX5300 | No | 0 |
| Kokoel | No | 0 |
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