No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $13.5M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $285k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $211k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $158k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $127k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $126k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $122k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $96k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 74% · No 27% | $89k |
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