What are the odds for “NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?” on Polymarket?

No 93% · Yes 8%, on $776 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 34¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?

No 93% · Yes 8%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 34¢). Volume $776, liquidity $98. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
93%
Yes
8%
Volume
$776
Liquidity
$98

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 25 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 34¢ · all-time +$114k · win 53%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 93% · Yes 8%, on $776 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 34¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?

live

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

92.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes25100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 94% · No 6%	$152k	$76k	1.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$138k	$50k	-3%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$114k	$326k	-1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$97k	$326k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$90k	$47k	0.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$87k	$508k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$67k	$46k	0.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$66k	$55k	0.7%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
OneMillySoon	Yes	150	15¢	$22.50	$5k
Vazelina	Yes	121	10¢	$12.03	$276.15
vaniyokk	Yes	70			−$378.37
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	46			$193k
CheffromHell	Yes	43	23¢	$10	−$567.69
smellyEllie	Yes	25	34¢	$8.50	$114k
Saintez	Yes	23	20¢	$4.64	$12.27
a5533	Yes	20			−$8k
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	20			$7k
A.D.	Yes	20			−$496.95
AnaFav	No	191	87¢	$116.79	$8k
Cattail	No	130	82¢	$106.90	$15k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$11k