Yes 92% · No 8%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢). Volume $4.8k, liquidity $1.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $686k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $199k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $167k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $161k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SakuraDevil | Yes | 549 |
| Cattail | Yes | 373 |
| Outsmarter | Yes | 358 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 275 |
| 0xc09c…bb6b | Yes | 171 |
| henos | Yes | 150 |
| theitaliangoats | Yes | 126 |
| manu354 | Yes | 115 |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 93 |
| sanlitou2026p1 | Yes | 22 |
| 0x9b1d…b29c | No | 491 |
| trx1 | No | 300 |
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