Yes won. Volume $5.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Udonsan took +$170 on Yes from 80¢; the biggest loser gave up $99.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $655k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $256k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $193k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $96k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $87k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $72k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 68% · No 32% | $71k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Udonsan | Yes | $170.08 |
| estoicc | Yes | $45.75 |
| buyat89 | Yes | $15.93 |
| pink11 | Yes | $12.14 |
| shcc | Yes | $9.09 |
| matchamission | Yes | $7.98 |
| Ordon | Yes | $7.11 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $7 |
| brra | Yes | $6.20 |
| Carabao | Yes | $4.80 |
| jkerkela | Yes | $4.80 |
| iamnotwhoiwas | Yes | $2.66 |
102 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $300; the 60 biggest losers gave up $332. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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