Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $73k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.1M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.8M |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FaZe 32% · Team Falcons 68% | $1.3M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $880k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| flipforchanel | Up | $2k |
| IAmTheButterfly | Up | $199.46 |
| 0xed37… | Up | $95.22 |
| chad-2001-c | Up | $81.45 |
| cheapstox524 | Up | $70.06 |
| 0xed37… | Down | $66.23 |
| 0x24f9… | Up | $44.42 |
| Dr-No | Up | $38.77 |
| .heart | Up | $38.04 |
| telosintel | Up | $32.80 |
| nzapple | Up | $30.38 |
| baummark1 | Up | $24.81 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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