No 93% · Yes 7%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢). Volume $20k, liquidity $671. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $686k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $199k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $167k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $161k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0d44…ec5d | Yes | 715 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 426 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 400 |
| TJpols | Yes | 261 |
| dandawo | Yes | 175 |
| RepublicOfChina | Yes | 172 |
| James-Talarico | Yes | 129 |
| 0xed13…7dd7 | Yes | 128 |
| Btwang666 | Yes | 100 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 77 |
| 0xrc | No | 2k |
| Arashi9527 | No | 434 |
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