Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $180k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
rewardbots took +$506 on Yes from 72¢; the biggest loser gave up $613.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 31% · No 70% | $85k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $52k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $52k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $43k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $32k |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 97% | $26k |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $25k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 87% · No meeting by December 31 11% · United States 1% | $23k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rewardbots | Yes | $505.95 |
| maizi0601 | Yes | $377.18 |
| Winyou3000 | Yes | $321.93 |
| Red781RuM | Yes | $236.40 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $195.10 |
| smellyEllie | Yes | $186.44 |
| kaixinwan | Yes | $132.20 |
| Escumish | Yes | $96.60 |
| Barkshire-Hathaway | Yes | $90.04 |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $80.41 |
| Lllhu | Yes | $79.99 |
| 0x022c… | Yes | $78.11 |
246 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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