Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $657k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
coinlaundry took +$837 on Yes from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.3k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| coinlaundry | Yes | $836.67 |
| chilloutTt | Yes | $375.31 |
| NIRVANA87 | Yes | $337.03 |
| 0x3fd0… | Yes | $284.51 |
| UZZ242 | Yes | $274.70 |
| President-Putin | Yes | $236 |
| 0x56e7… | Yes | $234.21 |
| 0xf2b0… | Yes | $233.22 |
| SunXiaochuan6 | Yes | $194.94 |
| Perseverantia | Yes | $177.63 |
| 53534 | Yes | $176.12 |
| DooBieZ | Yes | $147.50 |
280 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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