Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 99¢) and lost. Volume $578k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $429k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $381k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $222k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $206k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $141k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $126k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| melonmanm | Yes | $129.66 |
| Newshound | Yes | $100.51 |
| tennisclub | Yes | $75.44 |
| tr1000 | Yes | $68.97 |
| caaeth | No | $53.71 |
| Wowiwow | Yes | $48.50 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | $30.47 |
| grentub | Yes | $29.50 |
| efren83 | No | $28.53 |
| omsode | Yes | $27 |
| SakuraDevil | Yes | $21.20 |
| Nopants | Yes | $19.19 |
72 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $711; the 35 biggest losers gave up $266. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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