No won. Volume $184k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
noblesse.oblige took +$25 on Yes from 0¢; the biggest loser gave up $29.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 33% · No 68% | $206k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $65k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $28k |
| 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | JD Vance 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5% · Gavin Newsom 3% | $22k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 98% | $14k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $13k |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes 23% · No 77% | $10k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| noblesse.oblige | Yes | $24.63 |
| SiriusCash | Yes | −$29.16 |
| 0x2d89… | Yes | −$24 |
| BFivePol | Yes | −$11.62 |
| 0xf546… | Yes | −$11 |
| 0x334e… | Yes | −$10 |
| lz80i79s6ld1 | Yes | −$6.45 |
| Kent777 | Yes | −$5 |
| 0x4bd4… | Yes | −$3 |
| 718305 | Yes | −$2.10 |
| siffy | Yes | −$2 |
| BrokenPleb | Yes | −$2 |
51 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $25; the 50 biggest losers gave up $145. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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