Who is the smart money on “Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $3.0k, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$3.0k
Liquidity
$1.1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 648 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 49¢ · P&L $114k · win 53%
letsgo33
entry — · P&L $1.8k · win 39%

No

0 wallets · 0 known shares

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 84% · Yes 16% · 24h volume $29k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99% · Yes 1% · 24h volume $23k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $3.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?

live

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

2.9%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Which company has the best AI model end of October?	Google 98% · Anthropic 1% · OpenAI 0%	$200k	$316k
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 6%	$124k	$481k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes 13% · No 88%	$46k	$105k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$39k	$805k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes 33% · No 68%	$33k	$86k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 71% · Anthropic 26% · OpenAI 2%	$32k	$38k
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes 16% · No 84%	$29k	$43k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$23k	$91k

Smart-money conviction · Other

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Smart-money conviction