Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $808k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
nycfan took +$5.4k on Yes from 12¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.3k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Gavin Newsom 11% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Marco Rubio 10% | $707k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $604k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 36% · Ron DeSantis 10% · John McEntee 4% | $584k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $500k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68% · Puma Shen 33% | $116k |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 82% · Chris Hipkins 13% | $80k |
| Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? | Labour + Green 13% · Other 1% | $30k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| nycfan | Yes | $5k |
| Erasmus. | Yes | $2k |
| 0x0b4a… | Yes | $2k |
| Odd-Gaffe | Yes | $1k |
| M888 | Yes | $861.85 |
| MrNFT | Yes | $859.58 |
| FridayNight | Yes | $738.79 |
| ReinforcementLearning | Yes | $651.35 |
| Quarzo | Yes | $509.89 |
| Heyo0292 | Yes | $491.81 |
| mrworldwide | Yes | $459.11 |
| Our-Few | Yes | $419.41 |
295 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $14k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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