Yes won. Volume $5.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $774k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $243k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $232k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $232k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $210k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $193k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $191k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SakuraDevil | Yes | $82.10 |
| 0x619d… | Yes | $31.42 |
| ManipulationOfRisk | Yes | $20.89 |
| Arman2 | Yes | $20.32 |
| ENORMOUZ | Yes | $15.63 |
| 0x28a6… | Yes | $12.29 |
| meagainsttheworld | Yes | $10.17 |
| pink11 | Yes | $5.95 |
| Udonsan | Yes | $4.96 |
| Johnny-Worker | Yes | $4.89 |
| yen4u | Yes | $3.04 |
| 0xc7d5… | No | $1.60 |
50 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $216; the 35 biggest losers gave up $357. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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