No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
21 ranked wallets bought Yes at 28¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 21 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x029d…7a3e | Yes | 5k |
| hungabunga1 | Yes | 5k |
| 0x4c41…d286 | Yes | 4k |
| reverseT | Yes | 3k |
| metatip | Yes | 2k |
| 0xece4…b400 | Yes | 2k |
| user5420 | Yes | 1k |
| openelon | Yes | 1k |
| cartonprise | Yes | 1k |
| 0xff0679 | Yes | 786 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 83k |
| mao01 | No | 0 |
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