No won. Volume $226k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Catman6767 took +$77 on No from 92¢; the biggest loser gave up $300.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Catman6767 | No | $77.29 |
| ZIONISTSAREGHEY | No | $68.89 |
| 0x75d1… | No | $58.13 |
| 0xdcd7…4a95 | No | $46.09 |
| 0xc6ea… | No | $42.77 |
| DJew | No | $20 |
| WanTurtle | No | $15.50 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | $13.02 |
| bubububblebutt | No | $12.66 |
| 0x234 | No | $12.66 |
| Bromley86 | No | $11.30 |
| GonTanaka2 | No | $10.83 |
89 wallets held a position at the close. The 33 biggest winners took $467; the 56 biggest losers gave up $861. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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