Who is the smart money on “Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $56k, liquidity $37k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$56k
Liquidity
$37k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

6 wallets · 5,545 known shares

Hot-Skull
entry 3¢ · all-time +$35k · win 71%
big-bird1
entry 11¢ · all-time +$10k · win 49%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 94¢ · all-time +$29k · win 51%
luciebot
entry — · all-time +$8.2k · win 50%
asdfasdf11
entry 2¢ · all-time +$1.4k · win 46%
haveagoodday
entry 94¢ · all-time +$23k · win 46%

No

1 wallets · 45 known shares

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $56k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

live

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes6k99%
No451%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$275k	$78k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$159k	$107k	4.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$652k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$101k	$78k	-3.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$51k	1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$61k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$80k	$173k	0.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.8¢ask 4.3¢spread 0.5¢mid 4¢

SizeBid

AskSize

73.8¢

4.3¢5

303.7¢

4.4¢22

643.6¢

4.5¢42

9823.5¢

4.6¢80

2303.4¢

4.7¢115

4513.3¢

4.8¢84

1.4k3.1¢

6.5¢11

6.6k3¢

6.6¢12

3002.9¢

6.7¢41

2512.6¢

6.8¢28

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
buoys	Yes	15k	3¢	$13.17	$86k
Hot-Skull	Yes	5k	3¢	$72.48	$35k
0x1ff3d3	Yes	5k	4¢	$203.14	$3k
QMG-CORE	Yes	3k			$133k
DeverNoom	Yes	2k			$6k
donthackme	Yes	2k			$714k
fiter	Yes	1k			$53k
paddaa	Yes	1k			$311k
QuarterlyComeback	Yes	1k	9¢	$100.00	$10k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	939			$193k
0xa5ef39	No	43k			$0
varch01	No	500	95¢	$475	−$44k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k
10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k