No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $117k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
69dsfs took +$5 on Yes from 1¢; the biggest loser gave up $35.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $629k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 69dsfs | Yes | $4.69 |
| Ersicolus | Yes | $3.98 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | $3.00 |
| Mysaria | No | $2.67 |
| JordanMooney | No | $2.64 |
| 0x3d88… | Yes | $2.50 |
| WaterFloww | Yes | $2.34 |
| 0x4c63… | Yes | $1.17 |
| 0x8dc4… | Yes | $0.83 |
| ToTheWindow | Yes | −$35.00 |
| Brodel | Yes | −$17.08 |
| mapleleafgrief | Yes | −$9.35 |
35 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $24; the 26 biggest losers gave up $118. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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