No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
15 ranked wallets bought Yes at 100¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 15 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| papapacito | Yes | 40k |
| Rewardsfarm | Yes | 27k |
| Protrad | Yes | 18k |
| Meanreversion | Yes | 15k |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 2k |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 2k |
| cartonprise | Yes | 1k |
| openelon | Yes | 1k |
| 0x772e…ffa6 | Yes | 980 |
| CHONKYNAKS | Yes | 760 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 83k |
| Haradwaith | No | 0 |
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