No 88% · Yes 12%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢). Volume $1.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $282k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $157k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $133k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $123k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $121k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $91k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $90k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $3k |
| Newshound | Yes | $2k |
| 0x557a… | Yes | $1k |
| 23449 | Yes | $1k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | No | $1k |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $934.03 |
| LWHikarikYT | Yes | $840.42 |
| Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | Yes | $778.15 |
| Outsmarter | No | $743.91 |
| Akvyr | Yes | $493.72 |
| 0x95f1… | Yes | $479.85 |
| thebloodangel | Yes | $462.80 |
725 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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