No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
19 ranked wallets bought Yes at 4¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 19 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9336…e8f6 | Yes | 5k |
| oelek | Yes | 3k |
| Deafbull | Yes | 2k |
| 0x74e249 | Yes | 2k |
| GethardGallant | Yes | 1k |
| papapacito | Yes | 888 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 797 |
| 0xa577…7a7d | Yes | 680 |
| Newshound | Yes | 672 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 645 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 83k |
| PX5300 | No | 0 |
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