Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 78¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 17% · 320-339 16% · 360-379 15% | $220k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 90-114 53% · 65-89 26% · 115-139 19% | $161k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 60% · Jack Lowden 20% · No Bond chosen 12% | $30k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 51% · 28m-31m 22% · 31m-34m 13% | $16k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 12% · 260-279 9% · 360-379 9% | $13k |
| Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner? | Ezra Frech 62% · Harry Shum Jr. 17% · Connor Wood 7% | $11k |
| Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? | Yes 48% · No 52% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 40-64 20% · 115-139 13% · 215-239 0% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x5095… | Yes | $350 |
| sunnynotbunny | Yes | $253.71 |
| Arienwen.btw | Yes | $178.93 |
| amoeba2026 | Yes | $135.70 |
| Crabsoup92 | Yes | $104.90 |
| 0xbe78… | Yes | $93.38 |
| ScapeG.O.A.T. | Yes | $55 |
| needleladder | Yes | $47.04 |
| pykue | Yes | $37.12 |
| HHR-TEST1 | Yes | $36.93 |
| 0x9762… | Yes | $35.30 |
| 0x00b4… | Yes | $35.00 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 26 biggest losers gave up $892. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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