0x5c4ce2053442cc7b19d300ffd39b7f38cd138131
alternate01 has lost $6.3k on Polymarket across 164 markets, winning 78% of the ones that resolved. Politics is the strength: $329 over 6 positions, mostly Elections markets. Right now it holds 33 open positions worth $7.2k, the largest on “Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.7k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 2k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1k |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 520 |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 334 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 420 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 400 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 250 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 201 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 150 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $1.9M | $1.5M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.5M | $975k |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.0M | $956k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| Bigggggggg | $1.5M | $809k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.