No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $2.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
1,030 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $82k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $66k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $275k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $159k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $123k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $120k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $101k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $96k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $93k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 42% · No 58% | $80k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| countbinface33 | Yes | $13k |
| RTKYA | No | $11k |
| Muxau | No | $6k |
| 0x4c68… | No | $5k |
| twixik | No | $4k |
| MoonLambo1205 | No | $4k |
| ppxtu | No | $3k |
| 0x64c2… | No | $3k |
| smellyEllie | Yes | $2k |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | $2k |
| SirOk77 | No | $2k |
| 0x5fc1… | No | $2k |