0xd1049158a102840ce595efc6ab683a0cb6fbacef
pilimili has lost $199k on Polymarket across 288 markets, winning 62% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $33k over 13 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets, with Politics next at $11k. Right now it holds 18 open positions worth $305k, the largest on “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?” (No). It trades size, averaging $114k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 40k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 150k |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 23k |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 20k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 22k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 11k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 10k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10k |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 8k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 11k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| Ronaldo2100 | $366k | $76k |
| Hauchn | $319k | $73k |
| 0x6302… | $113k | $64k |
| topdaddy1 | $47k | $59k |
| HHYP | $94k | $54k |
| MiuMiuYan | $107k | $51k |
| pako | $619k | $50k |
| 0x16c7… | −$158k | $47k |
| luck00004 | −$352k | $44k |