No 65% · Yes 36%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 50¢). Volume $5.1k, liquidity $661. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
3 ranked wallets bought No at 50¢. It’s 65¢ now — +30% on paper.
Track all 3 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $93k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $32k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $32k |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $13k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $9k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $7k |
| 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | JD Vance 15% · Gavin Newsom 1% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 1% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingletonFamilyFund | Yes | 792 |
| 318DS565W3D13S1F3DS1W6E | Yes | 200 |
| BAO95889 | Yes | 179 |
| IngressDefender | Yes | 166 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 116 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 90 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 80 |
| 0x9815…bfe3 | Yes | 50 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| 0xd356…963d | Yes | 23 |
| vinii | No | 1k |
| 0xddfa38 | No | 145 |
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