No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $32k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $491k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $459k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $439k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $274k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 50% · No 50% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 46% · No 54% | $180k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $176k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $160k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 600 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 527 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 298 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 250 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 238 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 122 |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 121 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 106 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 102 |
| Geromi | Yes | 65 |
| TronOG | No | 2k |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 218 |
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